A typical Hound spotted earlier

Tuesday 4 August 2015

2015/16 Hound football predictions/punt...

I understand from recent communications that I'm to organise this year's collective football predictions/punt - therefore...

My thoughts;
  • last year's was a shambles!
  • the odds were ludicrous and we were almost all out after the first two 'hurdles'
  • this year's should be more realistic and structured so as to maximise the chances of some sort of return
 
Accordingly I suggest;
  • five predictions
  • each prediction to be the winner of a top domestic European league of your choice (see below for the list of all 'premier' leagues covered by Bet365)
  • entirely up to the individual which league/winner they choose
  • bet to be placed as a 'Super Yankee', i.e. overall bet broken down into 26 individual, smaller, bets covering each of the possible combinations of 'win'
  • stake to be decided by each individual according to their means/confidence
  • people can choose straightforward 'five-fold' bet if they prefer
The 'Super Yankee' option should maintain interest in our respective punts for pretty much the entire season.  Keep it as straightforward as you want - England, Scotland, Spain, Germany and France - or go as diverse as you want - Portugal, Switzerland, Turkey, Wales and Denmark. 
 
For example;
1 England - Man Utd @ 5/1
2 Spain - Real Madrid @ 13/8
3 German - Bayern Munich @ 1/10
4 Holland - Ajax @ 6/4
5 Wales - TNS @ 4/9
 
As a five fold that returns at 58.43/1 but you get one prediction wrong and you get nothing.
 
As a 'Super Yankee' at £0.10 per stake (£2.60 total outlay) it returns as follows;

Wins         Odds          £££s
1/2           14.75/1       1.57
1/3           5.60/1         0.66
1/4           13.25/1       1.42
1/5           7.66/1         0.86
2/3           1.88/1         0.28
2/4           5.23/1         0.62
2/5           2.79/1         0.37
3/4           1.61/1         0.26
3/5           0.58/1         0.15
4/5           2.43/1         0.34
1/2/3        16.32/1       1.73
1/2/4        36.40/1       3.74
1/2/5        21.75/1       2.27
1/3/4        14.67/1       1.56
1/3/5        8.53/1         0.95
1/4/5        19.58/1       2.05
2/3/4        5.85/1         0.68
2/3/5        3.17/1         0.41
2/4/5        8/1              0.90
3/4/5        2.77/1         0.37
1/2/3/4     40.14/1       4.11
1/2/3/5     24.02/1       2.50
1/2/4/5     53.03/1       5.40
1/3/4/5     21.64/1       2.26
2/3/4/5     8.90/1         0.99
1/2/3/4/5  58.43/1       5.94

 
By way of another example;
Austria - Rapid Vienna @ 7/4, Denmark - FC Copenhagen @ 7/10, Ireland -  Dundalk @ 1/6, Portugal - Benfica @ 6/4 and Turkey - Galatasaray @ 7/4 comes in at 36.49/1
 
List of 'premier' domestic leagues covered on Bet365;
England, Scotland, Spain, Italy, Germany, Austria, Denmark, Holland, Ireland, Northern Ireland, Norway, Portugal, Russian, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey & Wales

Those who were interested could possibly choose to add a sixth variable into the mix - I would suggest the winner of Euro 2016 - but to cover all the options as per the 'Super Yankee' idea above means 57 smaller, constituent bets - giving rise to the name the 'Heinz' - meaning the minimum stake would be £0.10 x 57 = £5.70

Any questions/suggestions then comment below for a response...

 

7 comments:

  1. Delivering on my assigned action (in absentia it should be noted) from last week, to suggest the basis for this coming season's football predictions/punt...

    ReplyDelete
  2. Personally I took a perverse sense of pride of being booted out the competition at an embarrassingly early stage last year. Still, am prepared to undertake the necessary research to avoid a repeat, and predict dancing in the streets of Airbus UK.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Let's not expound upon your perversions here Robson...

    The idea behind my suggestion above is that it can be done with no damn research at all - Chelsea, PSG, Bayern Munich, Barcelona and Juventus should be almost guaranteed to return something (possibly even a return of the staked money!) but if people want to get proper deep about it and weigh up whether Feyenoord @ 13/2 offers better value than Elfsborg @ 4/1 then they can do.

    Either way it shouldn't be beyond any of us to get at least two domestic league winners right out of five...

    ReplyDelete
  4. btw - for those wishing to check leagues/teams/odds then (for those with a Bet365 account) it's - Soccer / Antepost Betting / To Win Outright / pick your league (or tick the boxes of more than one to create a 'coupon' that will show odds for all your selections)

    ReplyDelete
  5. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

    ReplyDelete
  6. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Truly, this article is really one of the very best in the history of articles. I am a antique ’Article’ collector and I sometimes read some new articles if I find them interesting. And I found this one pretty fascinating and it should go into my collection. Very good work! เว็บแทงบอล แนะนํา

    ReplyDelete